Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 02/14
NCAA Basketball (1 Unit) Siena Team Total Over 65.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on ESPN+
Why would Siena, as a sub-.500 team in MAAC play, be favored over a contender for the league title and taking money in the market? It’s simple in my opinion, and it’s an angle that I’ll keep hammering at as long as possible, which is Siena’s offensive prowess at home. The Saints are just different on their home floor, averaging a full 12 points more per game than on the road, and seeing a big boost in their efficiency level as well.
Marist brings an excellent defense and slow pace, but that’s what is holding this number down to a very reachable level given Siena’s home success. And if you need any further proof, know that Siena already cleared this team total on the road against Marist two weeks ago. So with their patented home court boost tonight, I see them continuing their unblemished record of clearing this total in conference home games.
NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Nevada @ San Jose St +7 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 9:00 PM CT on FS1
I’ve never thought of this Nevada team as being any good, but they keep getting a ton of love in the market despite a 2-5 ATS record on the road this season. That creates a good opportunity to fade them in this spot at what is a ridiculous number in my opinion. Plenty of metrics sites share that opinion, with some even having San Jose State as a slight favorite in this game.
But I’ll just take the points with the country’s best cover team, because an 18-5-1 ATS record including 9-2 at home is not something you just leave sitting on the table. This will be a slow-paced game with limited possessions, so catching more than two full possessions presents excellent natural value. And SJSU should be able to close any late gaps with three’s against a very poor perimeter defense for the Wolfpack, so I don’t see this getting away from the Spartans.
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick has gained +73.5 Units on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
Locks NBA (0.75 Unit) NY Knicks -2.5 @ Indiana Pacers (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:30 PM CT on TNT This is an interesting situational spot for both […]
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NCAA MEN’S BASKETBALL: Siena locked on controlling the controllable ahead rematch with Marist
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ALBANY, N.Y. — It was cliche. Nevertheless, at this point in the season, it was meant whole-heartedly.On Wednesday, Siena’s junior point guard Justice Shoats celebrated his twenty-first birthday. Per a Siena spokesperson, this Friday marks the birthday of redshirt freshman Reid Ducharme, while Monday is assistant coach Ben Lee’s big day.When asked what he planned […]
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Game Recap: Women’s Basketball | 2/13/2025 9:12:00 PM
Morgan Lee Scores Career-HIgh 26 Points in Loss
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#22 Ciara Croker
#31 Morgan Lee
#23 Lexie Tarul
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | F |
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23 | 19 | 23 | 16 | 81 |
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15 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 69 |
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| Next Time Out |
