ATP Indian Wells Day 1 Predictions Including Nishesh Basavareddy Vs Yunchaokete Bu
The first ATP Masters 1000 event of the season, the BNP Paribas Open, kicks off in Indian Wells, promising two weeks of entertaining tennis. As always, the draw is stacked with top players. This article features young American talent, Nishesh Basavareddy, who will take on China’s Yunchaokete Bu. As ever, we at LWOT will offer predictions for every match on the slate for day 1. But who will advance?
Head-to-Head: Carballes Baena 1-0 O’Connell
Roberto Carballes Baena started the season in a promising manner, winning five of his first eight matches. However, he has gone cold since then and has lost four matches in a row, winning just one set in those four encounters. Christopher O’Connell, on the other hand, has played good tennis consistently and all his losses have come against players ranked above him. This is the second Indian Wells main-draw appearance for the Australian and the surface change might help his game. Considering the form, I have O’Connell as a slight favourite.
Prediction: O’Connell in 3
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Marcos Giron will make his sixth main draw appearance in Indian Wells and will hope to improve on his previous performance. The conditions have never favoured Giron’s game but the lower bounce due to surface change could help him this time. He has been in good form this season, making three quarterfinals from four tournaments. Nikoloz Basilashvili did well to qualify for the main draw and is a former finalist here, but his inconsistent game can not be trusted.
Prediction: Giron in 3
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Head-to-Head: first meeting
Alexander Bublik has dropped down to #82 in the rankings, his worst since 2019. He has won just two matches this season from nine matches and is on a three-match losing streak. Given the slow conditions and the threat of wind, this does not appear to be the perfect tournament for Bublik to regain his form. Yosuke Watanuki played two perfect matches in qualifying and has already gotten used to the conditions. I am taking the Japanese on this one.
Prediction: Watanuki in 3
Head-to-Head: first meeting
19-year-old Nishesh Basavareddy has impressed everyone with his complete tennis, and a win here would guarantee him a top-100 debut. The American wild card should thrive in the slow desert conditions with impressive control behind his shots and excellent defense. Yunchaokete Bu has more power but Basavareddy has the game to absorb the pace and redirect it brilliantly. I expect a winning start to the young American’s Masters 1000 career.
Prediction: Basavareddy in 2
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
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ATP Indian Wells Day 1 Predictions
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Buyunchaokete of China hits a shot in the men’s singles match against Nishesh Basavareddy of the U.S. at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, California, March 5, 2025. /VCG
Buyunchaokete of China defeated home teenager Nishesh Basavareddy 7-5, 6-4 in the men’s singles first round at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, California, on Wednesday.
Buyunchaokete kept a solid advantage during most time in the competition. He earned seven break points and converted three of them. By contrast, Basavareddy broke him only once.
The Chinese praised Basavareddy after the match. “I feel both nervous and excited since it’s my first time to play at Indian Wells, not to mention at the center court,” Bu said. “Basavareddy is a young Next Gen player. We know each other well and have practiced together during Challenger events. We both performed at high level today. I just tried to enjoy the match and forget about everything else. I’m proud of my performance today.”
The victory ended the 10-match losing streak by Chinese players in Tour events recently. It was also Buyunchaokete’s first Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) Masters win outside China.
Buyunchaokete will face Russia’s Daniil Medvedev in the next round.
A file photo of Chinese tennis player Wang Xinyu. /VCG
On the women’s side, Wang Xinyu of China beat Mayar Sherif of Egypt 6-4, 7-5 to advance to the second round. Wang broke her opponent first in the fourth game to lead 3-1 in the first set. Sherif returned the favor in the fifth and then held in the sixth to tie the set at 3-3. Wang then scored another two breaks to claim the set and lead 1-0 in the match.
The second set remained close as neither conceded a break in the first 11 games. Wang then ended the battle by scoring her fourth break point in the 12th. She will play former French Open champion Jelena Ostapenko of Latvia next.
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