Michigan State vs. Michigan odds, how to watch, prediction, free picks: Model reveals picks for March 9, 2025
The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (25-5, 16-3 Big Ten) will wrap up the regular season with a rivalry game against No. 17 Michigan (22-8, 14-5) Sunday on CBS and Paramount+. Michigan State already secured the Big Ten regular-season title with its win at Iowa on Thursday, extending its winning streak to six games. Michigan had a chance to win the league championship, but it suffered back-to-back losses to Illinois and No. 13 Maryland at home. The Wolverines are trying to avenge a 75-62 loss from the first meeting between these teams, which came in Ann Arbor on Feb. 21.
Tipoff is set for noon ET at the Breslin Center in East Lansing. The latest Michigan State vs. Michigan odds from SportsLine consensus list Michigan State as the 7.5-point favorite, with the over/under at 146.5. The Spartans are -357 favorites (risk $357 to win $100) on the money line, while the Wolverines are +279 underdogs. You can watch this matchup on CBS and Paramount+, where you can get a seven-day free trial right here.
Check out the game’s latest odds here:
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2024-25 season on a 221-162 betting roll (+1895) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Here are the college basketball best bets for Michigan vs. Michigan State (on Paramount+) on Sunday:
These teams went Under the total in the first meeting of the season, but the total closed at 150.5 in that matchup. It has dropped by a full five points in the rematch, giving bettors a chance to get value at a lower number. Michigan State has scored more than 70 points in five of its last six games, including a 91-84 win at Iowa on Thursday. Meanwhile, Michigan has gone over the 80-point mark twice in its last six outings. Don’t forget to stream the game on Paramount+, where you can get a free seven-day trial.
Michigan State secured its first outright Big Ten title since 2018 when it beat Iowa on Thursday, which came one day after Michigan lost to Maryland at home. These teams are trending in opposite directions heading into the final game of the regular season, and Michigan State already beat Michigan by 13 points on the road last month. Freshman guard Jase Richardson scored 21 points in that contest, while junior guard Tre Holloman added 18 points off the bench. Don’t forget to stream the game on Paramount+, where you can get a free seven-day trial.
You’ve seen the model’s college basketball best bets for Michigan State vs. Michigan. Now, get picks for every game from SportsLine’s model that’s on a 221-162 roll on college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Visit SportsLine to get all of its college basketball picks for Sunday right here.
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SportsLine’s proven computer model has revealed its best bets for Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State on CBS and streaming on Paramount+
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Over 146.5 (-110)
Michigan State -7.5
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Michigan vs Michigan State basketball ending delayed by fight: Score, recap, highlights
Michigan State basketball completed the sweep over its Big Ten basketball rival in the regular season finale.
MSU took down Michigan basketball on the back of a dominant first half for a 79-62 win on senior day at the Breslin Center. The No. 7 Spartans (26-5, 17-3 Big Ten) already locked up the outright conference championship Thursday with their comeback win over Iowa and finished on a seven-game winning streak. The No. 15 Wolverines (22-9, 14-6) have lost three in a row.
Michigan State jumped on the Wolverines early for a 50-28 halftime lead, which allowed it to coast to a comfortable 17-point win despite struggling on offense in the second half. Tre Holloman led MSU with 20 points off the bench, while freshman phenom Jase Richardson finished with 18 and senior Jaden Akins had 11 in his final game at the Breslin Center. Vlad Goldin led Michigan with 29 points, while fellow big man Danny Wolf had 18 points and 13 rebounds.
Michigan State is the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten men’s basketball tournament in Indianapolis, which begins Wednesday, and will play Friday at noon in the quarterfinals.
Michigan also has a double-bye to Friday’s quarterfinals and will finish as the 3-seed behind Maryland. The rivals cannot meet again until the Big Ten tournament championship game.
Here’s a recap of Michigan State-Michigan with highlights.
Michigan State got a tough layup from Jase Richardson and a long midrange jumper from Jaden Akins to close out the comfortable win over Michigan and completed the season sweep. MSU was up by enough late to let the seniors, Akins, Szymon Zapala and Frankie Fidler, kiss the Spartan logo at midcourt. Michigan’s guards L.J. Cason and Phat Phat Brooks got in a shoving match with Tre Holloman for standing on midcourt as the Spartans were trying to carry out their annual tradition.
Michigan State snapped out of its offensive rut to keep Michigan at an arm’s length heading into the final minutes. Tre Holloman has a pair of midrange jumpers to answer six points from Vlad Goldin and Danny Wolf, who is now up to 15 points and 13 rebounds after a quiet first half.
Michigan State ended its scoreless drought on a late shot clock 3 from Jase Richardson. The freshman was on the ground early in the possession after colliding with a referee, but he shook off the limp to hit a much-needed shot for the Spartans. Michigan State will have 1-and-1 free throws from Tre Holloman following the TV timeout.
Michigan has turned up the defense and gotten out in transition to spark a 14-0 run. MSU has gone nearly five minutes without a point, while the Wolverines, powered by Vlad Goldin and Danny Wolf, have made it again again. Goldin has accounted for over half of Michigan’s points with 26.
Michigan has started to show some life in the second half but still trails by 18 with less than 12 minutes left. The Wolverines are on a 7-0 run, including five straight points from Danny Wolf. Wolf has eight points in the second half. MSU has seven turnovers in the second half but still leads comfortably thanks to consecutive Tre Holloman midrange jumpers and Carson Cooper free throws, which briefly gave them a 25-point lead.
Vlad Goldin has all five points for Michigan in the second half, bringing his total to 19 of the Wolverines’ 33 points. But, no one else can get anything going. Michigan State answered an old-fashioned Goldin 3-point play with a long-range shot from Jaxon Kohler, who has nine points and five rebounds.
The first points in the second half came via free throws. Goldin fouled Jase Richardson on a layup attempt and then pushed Fears away from the Wolverines’ player huddle to receive the technical foul. The referees reviewed the play and gave Fears a technical for jawing in Goldin’s face to draw the shove.
It was all Michigan State in the first 20 minutes. Jase Richardson and Tre Holloman with 11 points apiece and Jaden Akins has nine, all coming on early 3s to give MSU the early edge. Eight of Michigan State’s 10 players have scored, including 21 points from the bench. Michigan State has forced 11 turnovers, including seven from steals. leading to 18 points, and has only given the ball away twice. Michigan State shot 47.1% from the field (16-of-34), 38.9% from 3 (7-of-18) and 91.7% from the free throw line (11-of-12).
Vlad Goldin leads Michigan with 14 points and four rebounds. Only three other Michigan players have a field goal, and Nimari Burnett is the only other player who has hit more than one shot. Danny Wolf had three points, all from free throws, and three turnovers. Michigan shot 40.9% from the field (9-of-22), 20% from 3 (2-of-10) and 66.7% from the free throw line (8-of-12).
MSU is keeping the foot on the gas. Richardson got free on the baseline for a two-handed dunk, followed by a Jaden Akins steal and dump-off to Jaxon Kohler in transition for a one-handed slam to take the roof off the Breslin Center. Michigan then split a pair of free throws, but MSU had yet another answer in the form of a Tre Holloman 3 to go up 50-26. Michigan State called its use-it-or-lose it timeout after Nimari Burnett committed a charge. Michigan has 11 turnovers to Michigan State’s one.
Vlad Goldin, now up to 14 points, ended the run with a pair of free throws, followed by a bucket from Tre Donaldson to briefly cut the lead to 14. Jase Richardson answered with a layup before a jump ball sent the game to TV timeout.
Michigan State’s defense turned up the dial again to spark an 8-0 run. MSU forced back-to-back turnovers and got an above-the-rim block from Coen Carr, leading to eight unanswered points on a pair of Carr free throws and 3-pointers from Jase Richardson and Tre Holloman.
Michigan State pushed the lead back to 12 at the under-8 minute TV timeout on a putback layup from Coen Carr. MSU has seven players who have scored early.
Michigan has started to find a rhythm on offense, primarily by playing through Goldin in the post, but MSU has kept the lead in the double digits. Goldin has 10 of Michigan’s 13 points, with Nimari Burnett as the only other scorer on a long-range shot. After the early hot start, Michigan State is now 1-of-8 on their last eight shots.
Michigan State has found an early rhythm from deep. Michigan State is 4-of-7 from 3-point range, including three from Jaden Akins. The Spartans have held Michigan without a basket over the last three minutes to push the lead out to 14 in the first 10 minutes. Holloman has provided five points off the bench and Akins has nine. The Wolverines have more turnovers, seven, than points.
Michigan State has an early three-point edge at the first TV timeout and has already forced one timeout from Michigan coach Dusty May. MSU went up 8-3 early thanks to a pair of Jaden Akins 3-pointers, forcing a Wolverine timeout. Michigan answered with a Vlad Goldin layup, who has all five points so far, but Carson Cooper will shoot two free throws for MSU after the timeout.
Michigan State’s starting five is:
Michigan’s starting five is:
Michigan State will honor the seniors on the team as part of the annual tradition in the final home game of the year. MSU has three seniors — guard Jaden Akins, forward Frankie Fidler and center Szymon Zapala.
Odds via BetMGM as of Sunday at 11:10 a.m.
Shawn Windsor, Detroit Free Press: Tom Izzo has lost on senior day before. And Michigan is due to make some perimeter shots. So a (slight) upset is possible. But it won’t happen at the Breslin Center. The Spartans may not have the Big Ten title to play for anymore thanks to their win at Iowa, but they’re hunting for a top-two seed in the NCAA tournament and the Wolverines are their rival. It may take some work down the stretch, but MSU gets the sweep. The pick: MSU 74, U-M 68.
The game features the top announcing crew from CBS, starting with Ian Eagle on play-by-play, Bill Raftery and former Pistons All-Star Grant Hill providing analysis and Tracy Wolfson bringing insight and observations on the court.
Michigan leads the all-time series, 104-91 but since MSU was added to the Big Ten in 1950, the Spartans hold the edge, 74-66. Michigan State has a 32-16 record against Michigan since the start of the 1999-2000 season.
Here is a look at Michigan State’s past five results. Find the Spartans’ full 2024-25 schedule.
Here is a look at Michigan’s past five results. Find the Wolverines’ full 2024-25 schedule.
Jared Ramsey is a sports reporter for the Detroit Free Press. Follow Jared on X or Bluesky, and email him at jramsey@freepress.com.
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Michigan State vs Michigan basketball live updates, highlights
Final: MSU wins 79-62 over Michigan
3:48, 2H: MSU leads 69-56 at final media timeout
7:57, 2H: Michigan State leads 64-50 entering final stretch
9:22, 2H: Michigan on 14-0 run, MSU lead down to 61-50
11:51, 2H: Michigan whittles deficit to 61-43
15:52, 2H: Michigan State leads 55-33
18:04, 2H: Vlad Goldin, Jeremy Fears T’d up; Michigan State leads 52-28
Halftime stats: Michigan State leads 50-28
0:46, 1H: Michigan State pushes lead to 24, 50-26
3:59, 1H: Michigan State leads 35-19 at final first-half TV timeout
5:45, 1H: MSU on 8-0 run, leads Michigan 33-15
7:56, 1H: Michigan State leads 25-13
9:00, 1H: Michigan State leads 23-13
11:44, 1H: MSU pushes lead to 20-6 on Holloman, Akins 3s
15:37, 1H: MSU leads 8-5 early
Starting lineups
MSU to honor three players on senior day
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Michigan State Clinches 2025 Big Ten Men’s Basketball Championship
ROSEMONT, Ill. – The Michigan State Spartans claimed the 2024-25 Big Ten Conference championship with Thursday’s 91-84 win at Iowa. The win improved the Spartans to 16-3 in the Big Ten and built a two-game cushion with one game remaining.
With the win, Michigan State also secures the No. 1 seed in the upcoming TIAA Men’s Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament. The Spartans are one of four teams who will earn a double-bye in the tournament and open postseason play on Friday.
This marks Michigan State’s 17th Big Ten championship and its first since claiming a share of the 2020 title. This is also the 11th Big Ten crown for Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo, tied for the most in conference history.
Trailing 58-48 with 12:13 to play, the Spartans used a 18-2 run over the next 4:33 to build a 66-60 advantage. The Michigan State lead swelled to 17 points with just under four minutes to play.
Michigan State shot 61.3 percent from the floor in the second half, including 5-for-11 from three-point range. Jase Richardson led the Spartans with 22 points, while Jaxon Kohler and Jaden Akins added 15 points, one more than Jeremy Fears Jr.
Michigan State will close the regular season on Sunday, when it welcomes in-state rival Michigan to the Breslin Center. The game will tip at 12 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on CBS.
The 2025 TIAA Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament will be held March 12-16 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The tournament will be the first to feature a 15-team field, with the winner receiving the Big Ten’s automatic qualification to the NCAA Tournament.
Peacock will televise the opening three games of the 2025 TIAA Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament, with second-round and quarterfinal games on Thursday and Friday slated for Big Ten Network. CBS will broadcast Saturday’s semifinal games and Sunday’s championship tilt.
Tickets for the 2025 TIAA Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament are available online at Ticketmaster.com. All seating is reserved for the 2025 TIAA Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament. Fans can visit the 2025 TIAA Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament Ticket Information page for more details.
Fans are also encouraged to visit the official Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament web site (bigten.org/MBBT) and follow Big Ten Men’s Basketball on X (formerly Twitter) (@B1GMBBall).
