HAWKS WIN WITH BALANCE
Q3 8:29
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Q2 8:32
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86
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98
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Click on any linked stat to view the Video and/or Shot Chart
Click on any linked stat to view the Video and/or Shot Chart
MIA: Isaiah Stevens, Keshad Johnson, Dru Smith, Josh Christopher
ATL: Jalen Johnson, Daeqwon Plowden, Vit Krejci, Larry Nance Jr., Kobe Bufkin
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| PLAYER | MIN | FGM | FGA | FG% | 3PM | 3PA | 3P% | FTM | FTA | FT% | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PF | PTS | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36:12 | 6 | 14 | 42.9 | 4 | 9 | 44.4 | 7 | 7 | 100 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | -17 | |
| 36:57 | 5 | 13 | 38.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 4 | 4 | 100 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | -15 | |
| 23:55 | 4 | 7 | 57.1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -5 | |
| 35:29 | 4 | 19 | 21.1 | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 100 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -4 | |
| 24:04 | 3 | 6 | 50.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -5 | |
| 21:01 | 1 | 6 | 16.7 | 1 | 5 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| 28:00 | 2 | 4 | 50.0 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 9 | 10 | 90.0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | |
| 27:14 | 1 | 12 | 8.3 | 1 | 8 | 12.5 | 2 | 2 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -13 | |
| 7:08 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | |
| DNP – Coach’s Decision | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DND – Injury/Illness | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DNP – Coach’s Decision | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NWT – Personal | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DNP – Coach’s Decision | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TOTALS | 27 | 84 | 32.1 | 7 | 40 | 17.5 | 25 | 27 | 92.6 | 14 | 31 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 86 | -12 | |
| PLAYER | MIN | FGM | FGA | FG% | 3PM | 3PA | 3P% | FTM | FTA | FT% | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PF | PTS | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26:27 | 1 | 8 | 12.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | |
| 15:48 | 4 | 6 | 66.7 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | |
| 28:54 | 7 | 10 | 70.0 | 2 | 3 | 66.7 | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | |
| 33:48 | 5 | 12 | 41.7 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | |
| 37:48 | 4 | 14 | 28.6 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 100 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26 | |
| 23:38 | 4 | 9 | 44.4 | 3 | 7 | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2 | |
| 28:23 | 5 | 12 | 41.7 | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 4 | 4 | 100 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | |
| 26:08 | 6 | 9 | 66.7 | 2 | 5 | 40.0 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 6 | |
| 19:06 | 4 | 8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
| DNP – Coach’s Decision | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DNP – Coach’s Decision | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DNP – Coach’s Decision | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TOTALS | 40 | 88 | 45.5 | 9 | 35 | 25.7 | 9 | 12 | 75.0 | 13 | 37 | 50 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 98 | 12 | |
Heat vs. Hawks odds, score prediction, time: 2025 NBA picks, February 26 best bets from proven model
We’ve got another exciting Eastern Conference contest on Wednesday’s NBA schedule as the Miami Heat will host the Atlanta Hawks. Miami is 26-30 overall and 12-11 at home, while Atlanta is 27-31 and 14-16 on the road. The Hawks won each of their first two matchups this season in Atlanta, most recently defeating the Heat, 98-86, on Monday.
Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from the Kaseya Center in Miami, Fla. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points in the latest Hawks vs. Heat odds, according to the SportsLine consensus. The over/under is 231 points. Before entering any Heat vs. Hawks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-106 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Miami vs. Atlanta. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Hawks vs. Heat:
Atlanta is coming off its second victory over the Heat this season with a 98-86 win on Monday in Atlanta. The Hawks held Miami to 32.1% shooting from the field, including 17.5% on 3-pointers, and the Heat’s 86 points were tied for the second-fewest in a game for them this season. If Atlanta’s defensive efficiency can travel over to Miami, or the Heat simply continues to miss shots, Wednesday could have a similar result.
The Heat are 1-6 over their last seven games, struggling to score consistently during that stretch. They’ve scored 86 points or fewer in three of the seven contests. Even with Trae Young scoring just 11 points on 4 of 14 shooting, including 0 of 7 on 3-pointers, on Monday, the Hawks still easily won. Young (Achilles, probable) is averaging 24 ppg and leads the league with 11.5 assists per game. He had 14 assists against Miami on Monday as six different Hawks scored at least 10 points. See which team to pick here.
The Heat had a dismal 3-point shooting night they’d like to forget about on Monday, but they aren’t nearly as poor of a shooting team as they showed in that contest. The Heat are 16th in 3-point percentage (35.6%) and Tyler Herro, who shot 0 of 9 on 3-pointers, is shooting 37.2% from deep this season. The season-long statistics would indicate a stronger shooting performance from Miami on Wednesday. Andrew Wiggins (jaw) is probable and Bam Adebayo (calf) is questionable.
Herro scored 40 points against the Bucks the day before his struggles against Atlanta as he’s become a reliable, go-to scorer following the Jimmy Butler trade. The Heat have the No. 7 scoring defense, allowing 110.7 ppg this season, and the Hawks rank 27th in scoring defense (119 ppg) despite Monday’s success. The Heat are 5-1 over their last six home games against the Hawks and with a return to Miami on Wednesday, we could see a completely different outcome from Monday. See which team to pick here.
The model has simulated Hawks vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, projecting 223 combined points, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Hawks, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Hawks vs. Heat spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-106 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season, and find out.
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SportsLine’s model just revealed its NBA predictions for the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat on Wednesday
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Fantasy basketball picks and betting tips for Monday
Monday’s NBA slate features eight games, with many teams on the tail end of a back-to-back. One game that stands out is the Miami Heat traveling to State Farm Arena in Atlanta to face the Hawks. The Hawks are on a three-game losing streak in this Eastern Conference matchup, while the Heat have struggled with consistency this season.
There’s one streamer and two best bets from this game that stand out, though there are other plays worth keeping an eye on. Let’s dive in.
Zaccharie Risacher, SF/PF, Atlanta Hawks (available in 83.4% of ESPN leagues): Risacher has been on a roll, scoring 26 or more fantasy points in four straight games including a massive 51 points against the Pistons on Sunday. He has also played 30-plus minutes in two of those games. Now, he gets a great spot against a Heat team struggling to defend small forwards, especially since trading Jimmy Butler III.
Keyonte George, PG/SG, Utah Jazz (55%): George continues to play a key role in the Jazz’s rotation, whether he’s starting or coming off the bench, especially with Collin Sexton out. He has logged 29-plus minutes in four straight games and topped 40 fantasy points in three of them. The Trail Blazers aren’t exactly a defensive force, ranking 23rd in points allowed per 100 possessions. This is a great spot for George.
Charlotte Hornets +10.5 (-105): The Hornets should be motivated to bounce back after losing to the Portland Trail Blazers by 53 points on Saturday night. I like Charlotte’s chances on the road against a Kings team that’s been .500 under interim head coach Doug Christie. This is a huge spread, which seems like an overcorrection. The Hornets are 12-5 against the spread as 10.5-point underdogs or more. Charlotte also defeated the Lakers on the road three games ago.
Nick Smith Jr. over 14.5 points (-105): Smith has cleared this line in five of his past 10 games. He’s averaged 13.7 field goal attempts and 32.1 minutes per game during that stretch. The Kings aren’t a strong defensive team, ranking 21st in points allowed per 100 possessions, and their perimeter defense isn’t great. That creates opportunities for Smith to get good looks, especially if the Kings decide to double-team LaMelo Ball.
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Trae Young over 10.5 assists (-125). Young has been consistent this season, hitting this line in 53% of his games and in three of his past five. He has also averaged an impressive 21.0 potential assists per game in 36.3 minutes this season. Plus, he’s cleared this line in three straight games against the Heat. Miami has allowed the sixth-most assists per game to point guards this season.
Dyson Daniels over 10.5 assists and rebounds (-130): Daniels has been on fire during the past 10 games, hitting this line in seven of them. At home, he’s been even better, clearing it in eight straight. He’s also averaged 10.3 potential assists and 11.8 rebound chances in 35.6 minutes per game. Also, the Hawks play at the second-fastest pace in the league, meaning Daniels should have plenty of chances to rack up stats.
Brooklyn Nets -2.5 (-120): This isn’t the prettiest matchup against Washington, given both teams’ records, but the Nets have been playing well lately. They’re 7-1 over their past eight games and rank first in defensive rating during that stretch. They’ve also been playing at the slowest pace in the league during that span. Brooklyn is only half a game out of the play-in tournament, so there’s plenty of motivation. Neither team is an offensive powerhouse, which is reflected in the total, but Washington still ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive rating over the last 10 games. The Nets are 4-1 against the spread in their last five and have the best road ATS record this season. I expect them to win this one convincingly.
Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Odds by ESPN BET
Players in italics are available in a majority of ESPN Leagues
LA Clippers at Detroit Pistons
7 p.m. ET
Line: Clippers 1.5 (-110) | Pistons -1.5 (-110)
Money line: Clippers +105 | Pistons -125
Total: 221.5 (-110 O, -110 U)
BPI Projection: Pistons by 3.7, straight up 62%, 223.3 total points.
Injury Report:
Clippers: Kawhi Leonard, (GTD – Foot); Norman Powell, (GTD – Knee)
Pistons: Simone Fontecchio, (GTD – Hand); Jaden Ivey, (OUT – Lower Leg)
Clippers projections:
James Harden, PG/SG: 41.4 FPTS (19.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 7.9 ast, 2.9 3PM)
Ivica Zubac, C: 33.5 FPTS (15.3 pts, 12.7 reb, 2.8 ast, 1.3 blk)
Norman Powell, SG/SF: 32.0 FPTS (19.6 pts, 3.4 reb, 2.7 ast, 2.9 3PM)
Kawhi Leonard, SF/PF: 27.8 FPTS (16.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 2.6 ast)
Kris Dunn, PG: 18.2 FPTS (6.6 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.7 ast)
Bogdan Bogdanovic, SG/SF: 18.1 FPTS (10.0 pts, 2.0 reb, 2.1 ast)
Derrick Jones Jr., SF: 15.3 FPTS (7.9 pts, 2.8 reb, 0.9 ast)
Pistons projections:
Cade Cunningham, PG/SG: 49.6 FPTS (27.2 pts, 6.3 reb, 8.5 ast, 2.2 3PM)
Jalen Duren, C: 27.3 FPTS (11.4 pts, 10.6 reb, 2.8 ast)
Tobias Harris, SF/PF: 26.3 FPTS (13.5 pts, 5.9 reb, 2.1 ast)
Ausar Thompson, SF/PF: 21.2 FPTS (9.3 pts, 5.4 reb, 2.6 ast)
Dennis Schroder, PG: 19.8 FPTS (9.8 pts, 1.7 reb, 3.4 ast)
Malik Beasley, SG: 18.0 FPTS (8.8 pts, 2.4 reb, 1.5 ast, 2.4 3PM)
Tim Hardaway Jr., SG/SF: 16.3 FPTS (8.6 pts, 2.3 reb, 1.7 ast)
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
7 p.m. ET
Line: Nuggets -5.5 (EVEN) | Pacers 5.5 (-120)
Money line: Nuggets -190 | Pacers +160
Total: 245.5 (-110 O, -110 U)
BPI Projection: Pacers by 0.7, straight up 52%, 244.9 total points.
Injury Report:
Nuggets: Aaron Gordon, (GTD – Calf); Jamal Murray, (GTD – Knee); Vlatko Cancar, (OUT – Knee); Peyton Watson, (OUT – Knee); DaRon Holmes II, (OUT – Achilles)
Pacers: James Johnson, (GTD – Illness); T.J. McConnell, (GTD – Ankle); Isaiah Jackson, (OUT – Achilles)
Nuggets projections:
Nikola Jokic, C: 55.6 FPTS (27.3 pts, 10.9 reb, 8.6 ast, 1.9 3PM)
Jamal Murray, PG: 44.5 FPTS (25.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 6.2 ast, 2.3 3PM)
Michael Porter Jr., SF/PF: 29.9 FPTS (17.7 pts, 6.4 reb, 1.9 ast, 2.6 3PM)
Russell Westbrook, PG: 29.2 FPTS (14.6 pts, 4.8 reb, 5.0 ast)
Christian Braun, SG/SF: 28.4 FPTS (14.9 pts, 5.0 reb, 2.7 ast)
Aaron Gordon, PF: 25.4 FPTS (13.4 pts, 4.8 reb, 3.3 ast)
Julian Strawther, SF: 13.8 FPTS (8.3 pts, 1.7 reb, 1.1 ast)
Pacers projections:
Tyrese Haliburton, PG/SG: 38.1 FPTS (18.6 pts, 3.5 reb, 6.7 ast, 2.9 3PM)
Pascal Siakam, PF: 37.9 FPTS (21.5 pts, 7.3 reb, 3.6 ast)
Myles Turner, C: 29.1 FPTS (16.8 pts, 6.4 reb, 2.1 ast, 1.9 3PM, 2.1 blk)
Andrew Nembhard, PG/SG: 23.1 FPTS (11.0 pts, 3.1 reb, 4.0 ast)
Bennedict Mathurin, SG/SF: 22.3 FPTS (14.2 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.0 ast)
Obi Toppin, PF: 17.9 FPTS (9.3 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.6 ast)
Thomas Bryant, C: 17.9 FPTS (8.5 pts, 5.1 reb, 1.6 ast)
Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers
7 p.m. ET
Line: Bulls 4.5 (-105) | 76ers -4.5 (-115)
Money line: Bulls +155 | 76ers -185
Total: 231.5 (-115 O, -105 U)
BPI Projection: 76ers by 0.9, straight up 53%, 233.7 total points.
Injury Report:
Bulls: Ayo Dosunmu, (OUT – Shoulder); Jalen Smith, (OUT – Concussion); Patrick Williams, (OUT – Quadriceps)
76ers: Joel Embiid, (GTD – Knee); Tyrese Maxey, (GTD – Finger); Justin Edwards, (OUT – Ankle); Kyle Lowry, (OUT – Hip); Eric Gordon, (OUT – Wrist); Jared McCain, (OUT – Knee)
Bulls projections:
Josh Giddey, PG/SG/PF: 37.6 FPTS (16.8 pts, 8.4 reb, 6.1 ast)
Nikola Vucevic, C: 37.0 FPTS (18.2 pts, 10.6 reb, 3.5 ast)
Coby White, PG/SG: 33.3 FPTS (18.4 pts, 3.4 reb, 5.0 ast, 2.7 3PM)
Lonzo Ball, PG: 21.4 FPTS (7.4 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.1 ast)
Matas Buzelis, SF: 19.0 FPTS (10.8 pts, 4.8 reb, 1.3 ast)
Zach Collins, PF/C: 18.4 FPTS (7.8 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.7 ast)
Kevin Huerter, SG/SF: 17.1 FPTS (7.4 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.0 ast)
76ers projections:
Tyrese Maxey, PG/SG: 51.6 FPTS (30.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 6.6 ast, 3.5 3PM)
Joel Embiid, C: 43.2 FPTS (26.1 pts, 8.8 reb, 4.7 ast)
Paul George, SF/PF: 35.6 FPTS (18.0 pts, 5.6 reb, 4.3 ast, 2.3 3PM)
Kelly Oubre Jr., SG/SF: 33.4 FPTS (17.8 pts, 6.5 reb, 2.3 ast)
Quentin Grimes, SG: 25.0 FPTS (11.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 3.2 ast, 2.1 3PM)
Guerschon Yabusele, PF: 17.0 FPTS (5.9 pts, 5.3 reb, 2.2 ast)
Jeff Dowtin Jr., PG: 11.0 FPTS (5.0 pts, 0.9 reb, 2.2 ast)
Brooklyn Nets at Washington Wizards
7 p.m. ET
Line: Nets -2.5 (-120) | Wizards 2.5 (EVEN)
Money line: Nets -150 | Wizards +130
Total: 217.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
BPI Projection: Nets by 5.2, straight up 67%, 219.8 total points.
Injury Report:
Nets: Cam Thomas, (OUT – Hamstring); D’Angelo Russell, (OUT – Ankle); Noah Clowney, (OUT – Ankle); De’Anthony Melton, (OUT – Knee)
Wizards: Alex Sarr, (GTD – Ankle); Khris Middleton, (GTD – Ankle); Malcolm Brogdon, (GTD – Ankle); Marcus Smart, (GTD – Finger); Saddiq Bey, (OUT – Knee)
Nets projections:
Cameron Johnson, SF/PF: 30.0 FPTS (17.6 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.1 ast, 2.9 3PM)
Keon Johnson, SG: 24.0 FPTS (12.5 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.4 ast)
Nic Claxton, C: 23.6 FPTS (11.4 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.9 ast, 2.4 blk)
Ziaire Williams, SF: 23.2 FPTS (11.5 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.6 ast)
Trendon Watford, PF: 17.8 FPTS (10.7 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.1 ast)
Jalen Wilson, PF: 17.2 FPTS (9.4 pts, 2.9 reb, 1.9 ast)
Tosan Evbuomwan, SF: 15.2 FPTS (7.7 pts, 3.4 reb, 1.9 ast)
Wizards projections:
Jordan Poole, PG/SG: 34.9 FPTS (19.9 pts, 3.4 reb, 4.6 ast, 2.9 3PM)
Bilal Coulibaly, SG/SF: 24.9 FPTS (11.8 pts, 4.7 reb, 4.1 ast)
Bub Carrington, PG/SG: 21.2 FPTS (10.0 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.5 ast)
Kyshawn George, SG/SF: 21.1 FPTS (10.4 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.4 ast)
Alex Sarr, PF/C: 20.0 FPTS (9.5 pts, 5.4 reb, 2.2 ast)
AJ Johnson, SG: 18.2 FPTS (9.2 pts, 2.7 reb, 3.0 ast)
Corey Kispert, SG/SF: 17.7 FPTS (10.1 pts, 2.6 reb, 1.5 ast, 1.8 3PM)
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks
7:30 p.m. ET
Line: Heat 1.5 (-120) | Hawks -1.5 (EVEN)
Money line: Heat +EVEN | Hawks -120
Total: 230.5 (-115 O, -105 U)
BPI Projection: Hawks by 3.9, straight up 63%, 230.6 total points.
Injury Report:
Heat: Kevin Love, (GTD – Personal); Nikola Jovic, (OUT – Hand); Dru Smith, (OUT – Achilles)
Hawks: Vit Krejci, (OUT – Back); Larry Nance Jr., (OUT – Knee); Jalen Johnson, (OUT – Shoulder); Kobe Bufkin, (OUT – Shoulder)
Heat projections:
Tyler Herro, PG/SG: 47.1 FPTS (27.8 pts, 5.4 reb, 6.3 ast, 3.8 3PM)
Bam Adebayo, PF/C: 41.7 FPTS (21.1 pts, 10.6 reb, 4.1 ast)
Andrew Wiggins, SF/PF: 32.1 FPTS (19.1 pts, 5.3 reb, 2.7 ast, 2.1 3PM)
Kel’el Ware, C: 21.8 FPTS (9.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.2 ast, 1.4 blk)
Terry Rozier, PG/SG: 21.2 FPTS (11.4 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.5 ast)
Davion Mitchell, PG: 19.2 FPTS (8.7 pts, 2.0 reb, 4.3 ast)
Alec Burks, SG: 16.9 FPTS (9.0 pts, 2.9 reb, 1.4 ast)
Hawks projections:
Trae Young, PG: 51.3 FPTS (28.6 pts, 3.5 reb, 9.7 ast, 3.0 3PM)
Dyson Daniels, PG/SG: 31.9 FPTS (13.6 pts, 5.9 reb, 4.6 ast)
Onyeka Okongwu, C: 27.0 FPTS (12.3 pts, 9.2 reb, 2.7 ast)
Caris LeVert, SG/SF: 22.9 FPTS (11.3 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.0 ast)
Zaccharie Risacher, PF/SF: 21.1 FPTS (11.7 pts, 4.5 reb, 1.5 ast)
Georges Niang, PF: 19.2 FPTS (8.9 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.4 ast, 1.8 3PM)
Clint Capela, C: 18.3 FPTS (8.8 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.0 ast)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder
8 p.m. ET
Line: Timberwolves 12.5 (-110) | Thunder -12.5 (-110)
Money line: Timberwolves +500 | Thunder -800
Total: 228.5 (-110 O, -110 U)
BPI Projection: Thunder by 14.1, straight up 87%, 222.1 total points.
Injury Report:
Timberwolves: Jaylen Clark, (GTD – Neck); Julius Randle, (GTD – Groin); Rudy Gobert, (GTD – Back); Donte DiVincenzo, (OUT – Toe); Jesse Edwards, (OUT – Ankle)
Thunder: Ajay Mitchell, (OUT – Toe); Nikola Topic, (OUT – Knee)
Timberwolves projections:
Anthony Edwards, SG/SF: 48.4 FPTS (30.7 pts, 5.7 reb, 5.0 ast, 3.8 3PM)
Naz Reid, PF/C: 31.1 FPTS (16.2 pts, 6.4 reb, 2.9 ast, 2.3 3PM)
Julius Randle, PF: 28.4 FPTS (16.2 pts, 5.6 reb, 3.7 ast)
Jaden McDaniels, SF: 27.8 FPTS (13.5 pts, 6.1 reb, 2.2 ast)
Rudy Gobert, C: 26.7 FPTS (12.9 pts, 9.5 reb, 2.1 ast, 1.3 blk)
Mike Conley, PG: 21.5 FPTS (8.0 pts, 2.3 reb, 4.1 ast)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker, SG: 16.3 FPTS (7.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.4 ast)
Thunder projections:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, PG: 54.8 FPTS (32.6 pts, 4.7 reb, 6.3 ast, 1.9 3PM)
Jalen Williams, SF/PF/C: 37.7 FPTS (19.6 pts, 4.9 reb, 4.9 ast)
Isaiah Hartenstein, C: 25.4 FPTS (8.8 pts, 10.4 reb, 3.5 ast)
Chet Holmgren, C: 24.7 FPTS (14.0 pts, 7.2 reb, 1.6 ast, 2.5 blk)
Luguentz Dort, SG/SF: 20.0 FPTS (9.7 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.6 ast, 2.0 3PM)
Alex Caruso, PG/SG: 18.7 FPTS (6.5 pts, 2.5 reb, 2.8 ast)
Cason Wallace, SG: 17.3 FPTS (6.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 2.3 ast)
Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz
9 p.m. ET
Line: Blazers -6.5 (-115) | Jazz 6.5 (-105)
Money line: Blazers -260 | Jazz +210
Total: 231.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
BPI Projection: Blazers by 5.9, straight up 69%, 230.7 total points.
Injury Report:
Blazers: Robert Williams III, (GTD – Knee); Justin Minaya, (OUT – Ankle); Matisse Thybulle, (OUT – Ankle); Deandre Ayton, (OUT – Calf)
Jazz: Lauri Markkanen, (GTD – Back); Walker Kessler, (GTD – Illness); Collin Sexton, (OUT – Ankle); John Collins, (OUT – Back); Jordan Clarkson, (OUT – Foot); Taylor Hendricks, (OUT – Lower Leg)
Blazers projections:
Anfernee Simons, PG/SG: 34.5 FPTS (19.7 pts, 3.2 reb, 5.1 ast, 2.9 3PM)
Jerami Grant, PF: 27.4 FPTS (16.6 pts, 4.1 reb, 2.3 ast, 1.9 3PM)
Toumani Camara, SF/PF: 26.8 FPTS (11.6 pts, 6.7 reb, 2.5 ast)
Deni Avdija, SF/PF: 25.3 FPTS (13.7 pts, 5.5 reb, 3.3 ast)
Scoot Henderson, PG: 23.5 FPTS (12.2 pts, 2.6 reb, 4.2 ast)
Shaedon Sharpe, SG/SF: 20.7 FPTS (12.3 pts, 2.7 reb, 2.3 ast, 1.8 3PM)
Jabari Walker, PF: 15.5 FPTS (6.8 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.4 ast)
Jazz projections:
Lauri Markkanen, SF/PF: 31.4 FPTS (20.6 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.1 ast, 2.8 3PM)
Keyonte George, PG/SG: 30.2 FPTS (16.7 pts, 3.5 reb, 5.4 ast, 2.5 3PM)
Walker Kessler, C: 25.5 FPTS (11.9 pts, 12.4 reb, 1.6 ast, 3.0 blk)
Isaiah Collier, PG: 22.6 FPTS (9.9 pts, 3.8 reb, 6.0 ast)
Svi Mykhailiuk, SG: 15.8 FPTS (7.6 pts, 2.6 reb, 2.2 ast, 1.9 3PM)
Kyle Filipowski, PF: 15.0 FPTS (6.8 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.2 ast)
Johnny Juzang, SG/SF: 14.9 FPTS (8.0 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.4 ast)
Charlotte Hornets at Sacramento Kings
10 p.m. ET
Line: Hornets 11.5 (-115) | Kings -11.5 (-105)
Money line: Hornets +425 | Kings -650
Total: 233.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
BPI Projection: Kings by 10.3, straight up 80%, 226.9 total points.
Injury Report:
Hornets: Mark Williams, (GTD – Foot); DaQuan Jeffries, (OUT – Knee); Josh Okogie, (OUT – Hamstring); Brandon Miller, (OUT – Wrist); Grant Williams, (OUT – Knee); Tre Mann, (OUT – Back)
Kings: None reported
Hornets projections:
LaMelo Ball, PG: 38.3 FPTS (21.4 pts, 4.3 reb, 5.4 ast, 3.6 3PM)
Miles Bridges, SF/PF: 37.0 FPTS (20.7 pts, 7.2 reb, 3.7 ast, 2.2 3PM)
Nick Smith Jr., SG: 21.7 FPTS (12.0 pts, 3.3 reb, 2.5 ast, 2.0 3PM)
Jusuf Nurkic, C: 17.9 FPTS (8.5 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.3 ast)
KJ Simpson, PG: 17.5 FPTS (8.5 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.4 ast)
Josh Green, SG/SF: 17.0 FPTS (8.7 pts, 2.4 reb, 1.5 ast)
Tidjane Salaun, PF: 16.7 FPTS (7.8 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.3 ast)
Kings projections:
Domantas Sabonis, PF/C: 45.7 FPTS (20.2 pts, 13.7 reb, 6.6 ast)
DeMar DeRozan, SF/PF: 39.3 FPTS (24.9 pts, 3.7 reb, 4.3 ast)
Zach LaVine, SG/SF: 35.4 FPTS (20.2 pts, 4.1 reb, 4.8 ast, 2.8 3PM)
Malik Monk, SG/SF: 35.3 FPTS (17.8 pts, 3.4 reb, 5.7 ast, 2.2 3PM)
Keegan Murray, SF/PF: 26.2 FPTS (12.8 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.8 ast, 1.9 3PM)
Jonas Valanciunas, C: 16.6 FPTS (7.5 pts, 5.0 reb, 2.4 ast)
Keon Ellis, SG: 15.8 FPTS (6.2 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.4 ast)
INDIANAPOLIS — The NFL is considering changing overtime rules in the regular season to decrease the advantage for teams that win the coin toss.
“It’s time to rethink the overtime rule,” league executive Troy Vincent said Wednesday at the NFL scouting combine.
Vincent said the competition committee agrees overtime rules need to be addressed. Receiving the ball first has become more of an advantage than pre-2011 when overtime was a sudden-death period. Receiving teams won 56.8% of games in overtime from 2017 to 2024, up from 55.4% from 2001 to 2011.
Current rules give both teams an opportunity to possess the ball in overtime unless a touchdown is scored on the first possession.
The rules are different in the playoffs. Both teams get a chance to have a possession even if the offense scores a touchdown on the opening drive. That postseason change came after the Buffalo Bills lost to the Kansas City Chiefs in a divisional round game in January 2022.
Making the overtime rules the same in the regular season is a possible solution, along with extending the period to 15 minutes.
Among other changes, the NFL plans to use its virtual measuring system to determine first downs in 2025. This wouldn’t eliminate the officials who manually spot the ball and use chains to mark the line to gain. The optimal tracking system notifies officiating instantly if a first down was gained after the ball is spotted by hand.
“We used this in the background last season,” said Kimberly Fields, the NFL’s senior vice president of football operations. “The goal for 2025 is to continue to train our techs, who are the ones who will be utilizing the technology, finalizing all of our officiating processes and procedures around virtual measurements and testing the graphics for the broadcast and in-stadium, so fans in the stadium and fans watching on television can see what we’re doing. The chain crew will still be there as backup.”
The competition committee also will review expansion of the replay assist to include more fouls, but Vincent said “there was no appetite” from the committee to use video replay to throw a flag.
A team could still propose a rule change to do that. For now, if officials miss an obvious penalty such as a face mask, replay assist can’t throw a flag.
Replay assist was used in 2024 to pick up flags thrown for roughing the passer (contact with head/neck), unnecessary roughness (runner out of bounds), intentional grounding and ineligible player downfield.
Expansion under consideration for 2025 would include roughing the passer (hit below the knee), unnecessary roughness (defenseless receiver/player), face mask (contact of hand with face mask), tripping, illegal crackback block and horse-collar tackle, among others.
Vincent said the league wanted to find a way to bring back onside kicks while also installing a permanent kickoff rule after a one-year trial with what was called the dynamic kickoff.
The trial made kickoffs more exciting with higher rate of returns. Vincent said he anticipated the spot of the touchback on kickoffs being moved from the 30- to the 35-yard line.
But the changes affected the onside kick. Teams were 3 for 50, the lowest recovery rate since 2001.
“Universal consensus that we know we need to do something with this play,” Vincent said.
He added there wasn’t much conversation around a fourth-and-long option to keep possession, though those discussions could occur next month.
The tush push play mastered by the Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles has been a hot topic this week because the Green Bay Packers proposed banning it. Some opponents have argued the play is dangerous, but Vincent said the league found no injuries on the play in 2024.
